player distribution app
Explore players' historic fantasy production levels probabilistically. Use this app for level-setting player expectancies on a per-game or per-minute basis.
Team point total projection App
Project team point totals probabilistically based on Vegas odds and identify which teams are most likely to light up the scoreboard. Your starting point for team stacking and sports betting strategy.
Play Count Projection App
Project the number of run and pass plays a team will run based on coaching staff, historic pace, and Vegas odds.
Announcement and information regarding ASA’s forthcoming paywall.
Quantitative discussion about ASA’s approach to probabilistically projecting team run totals.
Quantitative discussion of ASA's PGA projection & optimization application; how it works, caveats, and steps we can take to improve moving forward.
February post reviewing ASA's NBA work to date and plans for the site moving forward.
Past analysis of salary and fantasy point z-scores by park.